Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 16.889338 19.680600 22.716645 26.254875 30.255288 34.628063 39.759281
2025-02-23 11.977671 15.748676 20.273426 26.055919 33.197987 41.675719 52.440184
2025-03-02 9.103129 13.206815 18.533594 25.848295 35.509555 47.698918 64.084835
2025-03-09 7.190592 11.362716 17.155362 25.602915 37.390681 53.010057 74.974665
2025-03-16 5.439909 9.336348 15.104795 24.003605 37.063177 55.150317 81.625519
2025-03-23 4.722854 8.681665 14.859513 24.832186 40.065445 61.906326 94.882828
2025-03-30 4.211661 8.243660 14.842914 25.935477 43.486531 69.419512 109.633616
2025-04-06 3.480539 7.289244 13.847771 25.350130 44.226115 72.990958 118.822522
2025-04-13 2.783567 6.254731 12.552616 24.083706 43.710533 74.546810 125.002301
2025-04-20 2.573361 6.101056 12.758685 25.345278 47.351932 82.705043 141.673525
2025-04-27 2.432156 6.057501 13.149245 26.949045 51.662272 92.153361 160.843898
2025-05-04 2.174972 5.721850 12.939636 27.433353 54.069965 98.643820 175.635416
2025-05-11 1.873502 5.254825 12.457683 27.451245 55.826355 104.449289 190.140738
2025-05-18 1.581496 4.750911 11.837312 27.153659 57.031649 109.489634 203.850948
2025-05-25 1.341542 4.315296 11.288787 26.921832 58.318875 114.735176 218.200087
2025-06-01 1.138448 3.922056 10.765340 26.664661 59.509605 119.854077 232.584910
2025-06-08 0.886460 3.320540 9.654462 25.007870 57.791842 119.601464 237.557350
2025-06-15 0.808704 3.207511 9.693512 25.865898 61.159913 128.836230 259.789941
2025-06-22 0.752406 3.146763 9.852629 27.008292 65.192319 139.529088 285.161801
2025-06-29 0.628346 2.827373 9.288897 26.402217 65.507778 143.188008 297.880640
2025-07-06 0.499226 2.443856 8.477693 25.090710 64.177043 143.558952 304.492988
2025-07-13 0.474173 2.436864 8.718715 26.397191 68.674224 155.599572 333.577281
2025-07-20 0.460552 2.471297 9.085225 28.057585 74.076491 169.708520 367.189368